Summary

Projected supply and demand for the nurse, physician, oral health, behavioral health, and physician assistant workforce are estimated for Texas statewide and by public health region, urban-rural classification, and metropolitan/border status using the GlobalData Health Workforce Microsimulation Model. County level projections are not available.

Data Source

Health Professions Resource Center (HPRC)

Data Description

Supply and demand projections were generated using the GlobalData (formerly IHS Markit) Health Workforce Microsimulation Model. Some factors to keep in mind when analyzing the data are:

• Supply for services represents the number of health care providers licensed to provide health care services in Texas. Supply is modeled using:
  • Licensure data from the respective licensing entity, and
  • Information from reliable national databases.
• Demand represents the number of full-time providers required to meet demand for services. Demand for services is modeled using:
  • Population characteristics,
  • Economic variables,
  • Historic and current healthcare utilization patterns, and
  • Need for services based on the prevalence of disease and other health factors.
• Changes in any of the metrics used in the model will change the supply and demand projections.
• Projections are increasingly uncertain for years farther from the baseline 2022 data.
• The model does not consider certain factors that impact access to health care, especially in regions with higher shortage leverls. Factors not considered in the model include proximity to services, wait times, and drive times.

More detailed descriptions of the models can be found in the technical document available at https://bhw.hrsa.gov/data-research/projecting-health-workforce-supply-demand/technical-documentation.

Acronyms

• LVN — Licensed Vocational Nurse
• RN — Registered Nurse
• NP — Nurse Practitioner
• FTE — Full Time Equivalent
• NCHS — National Center for Health Statistics
• MSA — Metropolitan Statistical Area

References

• Metropolitan Statistical Areas: NCHS Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties
• Public Health Regions
• Metropolitan Definition
• Border Definition

Related Links

• Health Professions Resource Center
• Texas Center for Nursing Workforce Studies

For questions about nursing projections, please contact the Texas Center for Nursing Workforce Studies at TCNWS@dshs.texas.gov. For questions about physician, oral health, behavioral health, or physician assistant projections, please contact the Health Professions Resource Center at HPRC@dshs.texas.gov.

This dashboard was last updated May 2024.